Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nice vs Montpellier Prediction

Nice

Home Team
89%
VS

Montpellier

Away Team
5%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 22 17 5 0 59 20 39 56
2 Marseille 22 14 4 4 50 26 24 46
3 Nice 22 11 7 4 44 27 17 40
4 Monaco 22 12 4 6 44 29 15 40
5 Lille 22 10 8 4 36 22 14 38
6 Lyon 22 10 6 6 40 27 13 36
7 Strasbourg 22 9 6 7 37 32 5 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 25 22 3 33
9 Brest 22 10 2 10 35 38 -3 32
10 Toulouse 22 7 6 9 23 25 -2 27
11 Angers 22 7 5 10 23 31 -8 26
12 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
13 Rennes 22 7 2 13 29 32 -3 23
14 Reims 22 5 7 10 26 34 -8 22
15 Nantes 22 4 9 9 25 39 -14 21
16 St Etienne 22 5 3 14 20 50 -30 18
17 Le Havre 22 5 2 15 18 43 -25 17
18 Montpellier 22 4 3 15 21 52 -31 15

Recent Trends

Nice ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 2)

Montpellier ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nice

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.12
# Clean Sheets: 2

Montpellier

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nice and Montpellier at the Allianz Riviera looks to heavily favor the home side, with an 89% probability of victory for Nice. Montpellier, in contrast, has a slim 5% chance of securing a win. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 6%. Currently, Nice occupies the third position in the Ligue 1 standings, while Montpellier finds themselves languishing at the bottom, in 18th place. With a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored, an action-packed match is anticipated.

Match Analysis

Nice's recent performances have been promising, as they come into this fixture with two wins and a draw from their last three matches. Notably, they secured a 3-1 win away at Le Havre and kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 victory against Lens at home. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.2 goals scored per game in their last five outings, and defensively, they've been solid, conceding just 0.8 goals on average per game. On the other hand, Montpellier's form has been dismal, suffering three consecutive losses. Despite their recent struggles, they have shown some attacking intent, with an expected goals average of 1.372 over the past five games, although their actual goal-scoring average sits at a mere 0.4. Defensively, Montpellier has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which poses a significant challenge against a high-flying Nice.

Final Prediction

Nice appears to have a clear edge in this encounter, driven by their solid form and consistent goal-scoring capabilities. The home advantage and their position as a leading team in the league further bolster their chances of securing a win. Fans should keep an eye on Nice's attacking play, which has been a key factor in their recent success and could well be the deciding element in this match.