Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nice vs Auxerre Prediction
Nice
Home Team
80%
VS
Auxerre
Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Monaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Nantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | St Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Nice
- Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
Auxerre
- Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.07
# Clean Sheets:
2
Auxerre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.00
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nice and Auxerre is predicted to swing in favor of Nice with a significant 80% probability. The match is also expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 61% likelihood of this outcome. In the current Ligue 1 standings, Nice is positioned strongly in 3rd place, eyeing a Champions League spot, while Auxerre sits in 11th, looking to climb the mid-table ranks.
Match Analysis
Nice enters this encounter with a mixed bag of recent performances. They rebounded from a home loss against Lyon (0-2) with convincing wins over St Etienne (3-1 away) and Montpellier (2-0 home). This suggests resilience and a knack for bouncing back, which is vital for maintaining their top-three position. Their advanced metrics reveal an impressive average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five, alongside a strong defense, conceding just 0.8 goals on average, backed by two clean sheets.
Auxerre, on the other hand, is showing inconsistent form but has the potential for surprises, as demonstrated by their recent 3-0 win over Marseille. Despite a loss to Strasbourg (0-1 home), they managed a win against Reims (2-0 away), illustrating their ability to secure points away from home. Their advanced metrics, however, show a concerning tendency to concede with an average of 2.2 goals per game, which might be a vulnerability Nice will look to exploit.
Final Prediction
Nice holds the upper hand in this matchup, bolstered by a stronger league position and recent solid performances, particularly in defense. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could prove to be a decisive factor against an Auxerre side that struggles defensively. A key aspect to watch will be how Nice's robust backline handles Auxerre's sporadic offensive threats, as this could define the flow and final outcome of the game.