Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nantes vs Strasbourg Prediction

Nantes

Home Team
33%
VS

Strasbourg

Away Team
42%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 24 19 5 0 66 23 43 62
2 Marseille 24 15 4 5 52 29 23 49
3 Nice 24 13 7 4 49 28 21 46
4 Monaco 24 13 4 7 48 31 17 43
5 Lille 24 11 8 5 39 27 12 41
6 Lyon 24 11 6 7 44 31 13 39
7 Strasbourg 24 10 7 7 38 32 6 37
8 Toulouse 24 9 6 9 31 26 5 33
9 Lens 24 9 6 9 29 29 0 33
10 Brest 24 10 3 11 36 40 -4 33
11 Rennes 24 9 2 13 34 32 2 29
12 Auxerre 24 7 7 10 34 38 -4 28
13 Angers 24 7 6 11 26 38 -12 27
14 Nantes 24 5 9 10 28 42 -14 24
15 Reims 24 5 7 12 26 38 -12 22
16 Le Havre 24 6 2 16 23 50 -27 20
17 St Etienne 24 5 4 15 24 56 -32 19
18 Montpellier 24 4 3 17 21 58 -37 15

Recent Trends

Nantes ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 7)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Reims (Goals: 2 - 1)

Strasbourg ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nantes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.99
# Clean Sheets: 0

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nantes and Strasbourg is predicted to favor the visiting team, Strasbourg, with a 42% probability of winning, compared to Nantes' 33%. The likelihood of a draw is 25%. The match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45% chance. Currently, Strasbourg holds the 7th position in Ligue 1, while Nantes lags behind in 14th place.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Nantes has struggled to maintain consistent form. They suffered losses against Marseille and Monaco, conceding a hefty seven goals in the latter match. However, they managed a solid victory against Lens on home turf, scoring three goals. The advanced metrics reflect Nantes' vulnerability, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game over the last five matches, and no clean sheets during this period. Conversely, Strasbourg has been on a more positive trajectory. They secured two away victories against Auxerre and Lens, and managed a goalless draw against Brest. Remarkably, Strasbourg has kept four clean sheets in their last five outings, showcasing a robust defense. Their ability to maintain a low average of 0.6 goals conceded per game could be a key factor in their favor.

Final Prediction

Strasbourg's recent defensive solidity gives them an edge over Nantes, who have been inconsistent and defensively fragile. The visitors' ability to keep clean sheets and their disciplined approach might be pivotal in securing a victory. Watch out for Strasbourg's defensive organization, which could be the deciding factor in this encounter.