Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nantes vs Lens Prediction
Nantes
Home Team
11%
VS
Lens
Away Team
79%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Nice | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Monaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 38 |
| 6 | Lyon | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Lens | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 33 |
| 9 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Angers | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Rennes | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Reims | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | Nantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | St Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Nantes
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 7)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs St Etienne (Goals: 1 - 1)
Lens
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nantes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.78
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lens
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.48
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nantes and Lens is predicted to heavily favor the visitors, with a 79.00% probability of Lens securing the victory. Meanwhile, the likelihood of Nantes pulling off a win at home stands significantly lower at 11.00%, leaving a 10.00% chance for a draw. Currently sitting in 8th place in Ligue 1, Lens will look to capitalize on their superior form against a Nantes side struggling in 15th position. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with a 50.00% probability of under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Nantes enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They endured a heavy 7-1 defeat away to Monaco and a disappointing 2-0 loss at home to Brest, but managed to secure a 2-1 away win against Reims. Their defensive fragility is evident, having conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last five matches and failing to keep any clean sheets.
On the other hand, Lens has shown resilience despite recent setbacks. They suffered consecutive 2-0 losses against Strasbourg and Nice, but bounced back with a 2-0 win over Montpellier. Lens has demonstrated a stronger attacking presence, averaging 1.6 goals per game and boasting two clean sheets in their last five outings. Their impressive 2.098 expected goals scored average further highlights their offensive potential.
Final Prediction
Lens holds a clear edge over Nantes, primarily due to their superior recent form and attacking efficiency. Their ability to score and maintain defensive solidity, as reflected in their advanced metrics, positions them well to dominate the encounter. A key factor to watch will be Lens's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, given Nantes's defensive vulnerabilities. This match could further solidify Lens's aspirations in the league standings.