Ligue 1 2024-2025: Monaco vs Nice Prediction
Monaco
Home Team
68%
VS
Nice
Away Team
16%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
74%
Under 2.5:
26%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
| 2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Monaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
| 5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | Nantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | St Etienne | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 23 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 61 | -40 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Monaco
- Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 7 - 1)
Nice
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Monaco
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.60
# Clean Sheets:
2
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.93
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Monaco is predicted to triumph over Nice with a commanding 68.0% probability of victory, showcasing their strong form and home advantage. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 74.0% probability of seeing over 2.5 goals. Currently, Monaco stands 3rd in Ligue 1, tied on points with 4th-placed Nice, but holding an edge in goal difference.
Match Analysis
Monaco enters this matchup on the back of solid performances, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three games. Notable was their impressive 3-0 home victory against Reims, demonstrating their attacking prowess. With an average of 3.8 goals scored in their last five outings, Monaco's offensive firepower is evident. Defensively, they have managed two clean sheets in their recent matches, showing they can be resilient at the back.
On the other hand, Nice has experienced mixed results in their recent fixtures, with one win, one draw, and one loss. Their 3-1 away win against St Etienne displayed their capability to score, but a 0-2 home defeat to Lyon highlighted potential vulnerabilities. Nice's average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game indicates they have a balanced, yet slightly inconsistent, approach.
Final Prediction
Monaco's combination of a potent attacking lineup and a relatively stable defense gives them the upper hand against Nice. With a higher probability of winning and the prospect of a high-scoring affair, Monaco will look to capitalize on their home ground advantage. A key factor to watch will be Monaco's ability to maintain their offensive momentum, especially given their recent goal-scoring form.