Ligue 1 2024-2025: Lille vs Monaco Prediction

Lille

Home Team
53%
VS

Monaco

Away Team
25%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 74%
Under 2.5: 26%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 22 17 5 0 59 20 39 56
2 Marseille 22 14 4 4 50 26 24 46
3 Nice 22 11 7 4 44 27 17 40
4 Monaco 22 12 4 6 44 29 15 40
5 Lille 22 10 8 4 36 22 14 38
6 Lyon 22 10 6 6 40 27 13 36
7 Strasbourg 22 9 6 7 37 32 5 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 25 22 3 33
9 Brest 22 10 2 10 35 38 -3 32
10 Toulouse 22 7 6 9 23 25 -2 27
11 Angers 22 7 5 10 23 31 -8 26
12 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
13 Rennes 22 7 2 13 29 32 -3 23
14 Reims 22 5 7 10 26 34 -8 22
15 Nantes 22 4 9 9 25 39 -14 21
16 St Etienne 22 5 3 14 20 50 -30 18
17 Le Havre 22 5 2 15 18 43 -25 17
18 Montpellier 22 4 3 15 21 52 -31 15

Recent Trends

Lille ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs St Etienne (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 1)

Monaco ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nantes (Goals: 7 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Montpellier (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lille

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.69
# Clean Sheets: 1

Monaco

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.07
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lille and Monaco is predicted to favor the home team, Lille, with a 53.00% probability of winning. The chances of Monaco securing a victory stand at 25.00%, while there's a 22.00% probability of the match ending in a draw. Lille currently sits 5th in the Ligue 1 standings with 38 points, while Monaco is just above them in 4th position with 40 points. Additionally, there is a strong likelihood of a high-scoring game, with a 74.00% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Lille's recent performances have shown resilience and a knack for scoring, as demonstrated by their 2-0 win against Rennes and a commanding 4-1 victory over St Etienne. However, their defeat at home to Le Havre, where they conceded two goals, raises questions about their defensive consistency. Lille has averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches, a testament to their attacking prowess, though they have only managed one clean sheet in this period. Monaco, on the other hand, comes off a spectacular 7-1 win against Nantes, highlighting their offensive capabilities. Despite this, their defense has been porous, as shown in their 4-1 loss to Paris SG and the two goals conceded in a 4-2 win over Auxerre. With an average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game in their last five, Monaco will need to shore up their defense if they hope to contain Lille's attack.

Final Prediction

Lille's edge in this match lies in their slightly superior form and home advantage. Their ability to score consistently gives them the upper hand against a Monaco team struggling defensively. A key factor to watch will be Lille's ability to exploit Monaco's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially setting the stage for an exciting, high-scoring encounter.