Ligue 1 2024-2025: Le Havre vs Nantes Prediction

Le Havre

Home Team
36%
VS

Nantes

Away Team
38%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 26 21 5 0 73 25 48 68
2 Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 33 20 49
3 Monaco 26 14 5 7 51 32 19 47
4 Nice 26 13 8 5 50 31 19 47
5 Lyon 26 13 6 7 50 33 17 45
6 Lille 26 12 8 6 40 28 12 44
7 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 41 33 8 43
8 Lens 26 11 6 9 31 29 2 39
9 Brest 26 11 4 11 38 40 -2 37
10 Toulouse 26 9 7 10 33 29 4 34
11 Auxerre 26 8 8 10 37 39 -2 32
12 Rennes 26 9 2 15 35 37 -2 29
13 Nantes 26 6 9 11 29 43 -14 27
14 Angers 26 7 6 13 26 42 -16 27
15 Reims 26 5 8 13 26 40 -14 23
16 St Etienne 26 6 5 15 27 57 -30 23
17 Le Havre 26 6 3 17 26 55 -29 21
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 61 -40 15

Recent Trends

Le Havre ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lyon (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs St Etienne (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 3)

Nantes ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 7)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Le Havre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.14
# Clean Sheets: 0

Nantes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.14
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Le Havre and Nantes is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with Nantes having a slight edge with a 38.0% probability of securing a victory, compared to Le Havre's 36.0%. The game is predicted to end with under 2.5 goals, having a 44.0% probability in favor of this outcome. In terms of the league standings, Nantes sits at 13th, while Le Havre is struggling in 17th position, just above the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Le Havre's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They secured a thrilling 4-3 victory against Lens, but have also suffered a defeat to Lyon and managed a draw against St Etienne. Their performances suggest a team capable of scoring, yet vulnerable at the back, as highlighted by their average of 2.2 goals conceded per game in the last five matches. Despite this, their expected goals metric of 1.258 indicates potential in attack that could be tapped into against Nantes. Nantes, on the other hand, have had a tougher ride in their last three games, managing only a solitary win against Lille. They have struggled particularly in attack, failing to score in two of their last three matches against Strasbourg and Marseille. With an average of 1.0 goals scored per match and a concerning 2.4 goals conceded, their defense will need to be tighter to come out on top against Le Havre.

Final Prediction

Nantes is slightly favored to edge out Le Havre due to their marginally better league position and a recent win that could boost morale. A key factor to watch will be the defensive resilience of both teams, as both have shown vulnerabilities in recent games. Fans should keep an eye on how each team capitalizes on set pieces, which could very well be the deciding factor in this closely matched encounter.