Ligue 1 2024-2025: Brest vs Reims Prediction
Brest
Home Team
79%
VS
Reims
Away Team
10%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
59%
Under 2.5:
41%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Monaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Nantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | St Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Brest
- Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 0)
Reims
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.75
# Clean Sheets:
3
Reims
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
3.06
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Brest is heavily favored to win this encounter against Reims with a commanding probability of 79.0%. This is not surprising given their current league standing at 9th place compared to Reims, who find themselves struggling at 15th. The match is also expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 59.0% probability signaling an open contest.
Match Analysis
Brest has shown a mixed bag of performances in their last three matches. They secured a solid 2-0 home victory against Angers, but faced a narrow 1-2 loss on the road against Lyon. Their recent away draw against Strasbourg, a goalless affair, underscores a resilient defense with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Brest's average of 2.4 goals scored per game over the last five outings indicates a potent attacking force, further supported by their expected goals tally of 2.128, hinting at their capacity to create and convert chances.
Reims, on the other hand, is on a troubling trend with three consecutive losses, failing to find the net in any of those games. Their recent defeats against Auxerre, Monaco, and Rennes have seen them concede six goals without reply. The advanced metrics paint a stark picture, with Reims averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game in their last five. Their expected goals conceded stands at 3.062, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Brest could exploit.
Final Prediction
Given Brest's superior form and Reims' recent struggles, Brest has a clear edge in this matchup. The home team's robust attacking metrics and solid defensive displays could prove decisive. Keep an eye on Brest's ability to capitalize on Reims' defensive frailties, as this could be the key factor determining the outcome of the game.