Ligue 1 2024-2025: Brest vs Angers Prediction

Brest

Home Team
62%
VS

Angers

Away Team
18%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 24 19 5 0 66 23 43 62
2 Marseille 24 15 4 5 52 29 23 49
3 Nice 24 13 7 4 49 28 21 46
4 Monaco 24 13 4 7 48 31 17 43
5 Lille 24 11 8 5 39 27 12 41
6 Lyon 24 11 6 7 44 31 13 39
7 Strasbourg 24 10 7 7 38 32 6 37
8 Toulouse 24 9 6 9 31 26 5 33
9 Lens 24 9 6 9 29 29 0 33
10 Brest 24 10 3 11 36 40 -4 33
11 Rennes 24 9 2 13 34 32 2 29
12 Auxerre 24 7 7 10 34 38 -4 28
13 Angers 24 7 6 11 26 38 -12 27
14 Nantes 24 5 9 10 28 42 -14 24
15 Reims 24 5 7 12 26 38 -12 22
16 Le Havre 24 6 2 16 23 50 -27 20
17 St Etienne 24 5 4 15 24 56 -32 19
18 Montpellier 24 4 3 17 21 58 -37 15

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.83
# Clean Sheets: 2

Angers

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Brest and Angers is tipped in favor of the home team. Brest boasts a 62.0% probability of securing a win, while Angers has a mere 18.0% chance of triumphing. With Brest sitting 10th in the Ligue 1 standings and Angers trailing in the 13th spot, the prediction also suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 62.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being netted.

Match Analysis

Both teams have had contrasting fortunes in their recent outings. Brest has managed two draws and one loss in their last three matches. Their recent draw against Auxerre at home, where they conceded two goals, highlights their defensive frailties. Despite these setbacks, Brest has shown a knack for scoring, averaging 2.6 goals over their last five matches. Their offense is further backed by an average of 1.8 expected goals, which suggests they are creating quality chances. Angers, meanwhile, have had a mixed bag of results. They were comprehensively beaten 4-0 by Toulouse at home, but showed resilience in a thrilling 3-3 draw against St Etienne away. Angers did manage a narrow victory against Reims, showcasing their ability to grind out results. Their average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded in the last five games, along with 1.91 expected goals, indicates that while they can pose a threat, they are equally vulnerable at the back.

Final Prediction

Brest's superior league standing and recent offensive form give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their ability to score consistently, combined with Angers' defensive struggles, could be pivotal. Fans should keep an eye on Brest's attacking prowess, which might just be the key factor that decides the outcome of this encounter.