Ligue 1 2024-2025: Auxerre vs Strasbourg Prediction

Auxerre

Home Team
34%
VS

Strasbourg

Away Team
39%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 18 5 0 62 22 40 59
2 Marseille 23 14 4 5 50 29 21 46
3 Nice 23 12 7 4 46 27 19 43
4 Lille 23 11 8 4 38 23 15 41
5 Monaco 23 12 4 7 45 31 14 40
6 Lyon 23 10 6 7 42 30 12 36
7 Strasbourg 23 9 7 7 37 32 5 34
8 Lens 23 9 6 8 26 25 1 33
9 Brest 23 10 3 10 35 38 -3 33
10 Toulouse 23 8 6 9 27 26 1 30
11 Auxerre 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
12 Angers 23 7 6 10 26 34 -8 27
13 Rennes 23 8 2 13 30 32 -2 26
14 Nantes 23 5 9 9 28 40 -12 24
15 Reims 23 5 7 11 26 35 -9 22
16 St Etienne 23 5 4 14 23 53 -30 19
17 Le Havre 23 5 2 16 19 47 -28 17
18 Montpellier 23 4 3 16 21 54 -33 15

Recent Trends

Auxerre ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marseille (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs St Etienne (Goals: 1 - 1)

Strasbourg ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Auxerre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Auxerre and Strasbourg is predicted to be a closely contested affair, with Strasbourg having a slight edge with a 39.0% probability of winning. Auxerre, playing at home, has a 34.0% chance of victory, while the possibility of a draw stands at 27.0%. Given the predicted result of under 2.5 goals at 48.0%, fans might expect a tight game. In the current league standings, Strasbourg sits at 7th with 34 points, while Auxerre is positioned 11th with 28 points.

Match Analysis

Auxerre enters this match with a mix of results from their last three games. They secured an impressive 3-0 victory at home against Marseille, showing their potential to upset higher-ranked teams. However, they followed this up with back-to-back 2-2 draws against Brest and Toulouse, indicating a consistent, albeit less dominant, scoring ability. Auxerre's recent performances show an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. Their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by their average expected goals conceded of 1.366, suggesting they may struggle to keep Strasbourg at bay. Strasbourg, on the other hand, has been in robust form, winning two of their last three matches. They recorded a solid 2-0 away victory against Lens and a 2-0 home win over Montpellier, showcasing their defensive strength with three clean sheets in their last five outings. Strasbourg's average goals scored and conceded are both 1.6 and 0.6, respectively. Additionally, their expected goals scored of 1.408 indicate they are likely to create more scoring opportunities, which could be pivotal against Auxerre's defense.

Final Prediction

Strasbourg's recent form and defensive solidity give them an edge heading into this encounter. Their ability to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities could prove decisive. A key factor to watch during the game will be Strasbourg's defense against Auxerre's attack, as this could dictate the flow and result of the match.