Ligue 1 2024-2025: Angers vs Toulouse Prediction

Angers

Home Team
13%
VS

Toulouse

Away Team
75%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 18 5 0 62 22 40 59
2 Marseille 23 14 4 5 50 29 21 46
3 Nice 23 12 7 4 46 27 19 43
4 Lille 23 11 8 4 38 23 15 41
5 Monaco 23 12 4 7 45 31 14 40
6 Lyon 23 10 6 7 42 30 12 36
7 Strasbourg 23 9 7 7 37 32 5 34
8 Lens 23 9 6 8 26 25 1 33
9 Brest 23 10 3 10 35 38 -3 33
10 Toulouse 23 8 6 9 27 26 1 30
11 Auxerre 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
12 Angers 23 7 6 10 26 34 -8 27
13 Rennes 23 8 2 13 30 32 -2 26
14 Nantes 23 5 9 9 28 40 -12 24
15 Reims 23 5 7 11 26 35 -9 22
16 St Etienne 23 5 4 14 23 53 -30 19
17 Le Havre 23 5 2 16 19 47 -28 17
18 Montpellier 23 4 3 16 21 54 -33 15

Recent Trends

Angers ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)

Toulouse ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Montpellier (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Angers

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 1

Toulouse

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Angers and Toulouse is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. With a 75.0% probability of securing a victory, Toulouse is widely expected to come out on top, while Angers has only a 13.0% chance of pulling off a win. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 12.0%. In terms of goals, the prediction leans towards a tight contest with less than 2.5 goals expected. Currently, Toulouse sits in 10th place in Ligue 1, while Angers is just below them in 12th.

Match Analysis

Recent performances provide valuable insights into what we might expect from both sides. Angers has shown mixed form, starting with a commendable 3-3 draw against St Etienne, followed by a vital 1-0 victory over Reims away from home. However, their last outing was a setback, as they succumbed to a 2-0 loss against Marseille at home. Key metrics for Angers show they average 1.0 goals scored and concede 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities that Toulouse might exploit. Toulouse, meanwhile, has had a relatively stronger showing lately. They convincingly defeated Le Havre 4-1 away, showcasing their attacking prowess. Despite a narrow 1-0 loss to league leaders Paris SG at home, they managed to hold Auxerre to a 2-2 draw away. Toulouse averages 1.4 goals per game, with a defense that concedes only 1.0 goals on average, suggesting a more balanced side. Their expected goals metrics also highlight their offensive capabilities, which could be pivotal in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Toulouse's edge in this encounter stems from their superior recent form and balanced team dynamics. Their ability to score and maintain a solid defensive line could be crucial against an Angers side that has struggled for consistency. Fans should keep an eye on Toulouse's attacking unit, as their goal-scoring potential could be the decisive factor in securing the three points.