Ligue 1 2024-2025: Angers vs Rennes Prediction
Angers
Home Team
11%
VS
Rennes
Away Team
79%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Current Standings
Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Paris SG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
3 | Monaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Strasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
13 | Nantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
16 | St Etienne | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
18 | Montpellier | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 61 | -40 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Angers
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.40
# Clean Sheets:
1
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.54
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Angers and Rennes sees Rennes as the clear favorite with a 79.0% probability of winning, compared to Angers' mere 11.0% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 11.0%. This match is also expected to see more than 2.5 goals with a 61.0% probability. Angers currently hold the 14th position in Ligue 1, while Rennes are slightly ahead in 12th place.
Match Analysis
Angers have struggled significantly in their recent outings, suffering three consecutive losses. In these matches, they failed to score any goals, conceding eight in total against Monaco, Brest, and Toulouse. Their performance metrics reflect this downturn, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, with only one clean sheet in that same period.
On the other hand, Rennes have shown mixed form, winning one out of their last three games. They managed a convincing 4-0 victory over Montpellier but fell short against Lens and the formidable Paris SG. Rennes have been more potent in front of goal, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five. Their defensive record has been slightly better than Angers', with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game and two clean sheets.
Final Prediction
Rennes' edge over Angers is underscored by their superior attacking metrics and goal-scoring capability. This offensive prowess is likely to dominate the game, given Angers' current defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Rennes' ability to capitalize on Angers' defensive struggles, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair as predicted.