Ligue 1 2024-2025: Angers vs Montpellier Prediction

Angers

Home Team
40%
VS

Montpellier

Away Team
32%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 28 23 5 0 80 26 54 74
2 Marseille 28 16 4 8 57 38 19 52
3 Monaco 28 15 5 8 54 35 19 50
4 Strasbourg 28 14 7 7 46 35 11 49
5 Lyon 28 14 6 8 54 38 16 48
6 Nice 28 13 8 7 52 35 17 47
7 Lille 28 13 8 7 42 30 12 47
8 Brest 28 13 4 11 44 43 1 43
9 Lens 28 12 6 10 32 30 2 42
10 Auxerre 28 10 8 10 39 39 0 38
11 Toulouse 28 9 7 12 37 36 1 34
12 Rennes 28 10 2 16 38 38 0 32
13 Nantes 28 7 9 12 33 47 -14 30
14 Angers 28 7 6 15 26 46 -20 27
15 Le Havre 28 8 3 17 31 57 -26 27
16 Reims 28 6 8 14 29 42 -13 26
17 St Etienne 28 6 5 17 28 64 -36 23
18 Montpellier 28 4 3 21 21 64 -43 15

Recent Trends

Angers ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 4)

Montpellier ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nice (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Angers

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.64
# Clean Sheets: 0

Montpellier

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.11
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Angers and Montpellier is predicted to be a closely contested affair, with Angers having a 40.0% probability of securing a home victory. Meanwhile, Montpellier's chances of an away win stand at 32.0%, and there is a 27.0% probability of the match ending in a draw. Given the likelihood of over 2.5 goals occurring in the match at 60.0%, fans can expect an action-packed encounter. Currently, Angers are positioned 14th in Ligue 1, while Montpellier find themselves struggling at the bottom in 18th place.

Match Analysis

Both teams are looking to overturn their recent poor form, as neither has managed to secure a point in their last three matches. Angers have particularly struggled, failing to score in any of these games and conceding a total of six goals, including a tough 3-0 loss at home to Rennes. Despite their home advantage, Angers' recent performances highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches. Montpellier, on the other hand, are also facing a challenging period, having lost their previous three outings without scoring. They have shown slightly better defensive resilience, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five encounters. However, with neither team managing a clean sheet in recent matches, both sides will be keen to tighten up defensively. The advanced metrics suggest Angers have a slightly better expected goals tally, but both teams are struggling to convert chances into goals.

Final Prediction

Angers appear to have a slight edge entering this fixture, primarily due to their home advantage and marginally better expected goals statistics. However, with both teams desperate to improve their standing and avoid the relegation zone, the match promises to be a tightly contested battle. The key factor to watch will be how each team manages to convert their chances into goals, as both have been struggling to find the back of the net consistently.