La Liga 2024-2025: Villarreal vs Sociedad Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
54%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
23%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.80
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Villarreal and Sociedad sees Villarreal as the likely winners with a 54% chance of claiming victory. The game is expected to have over 2.5 goals with a 54% probability. Currently, Villarreal sits at 5th place in La Liga, while Sociedad is positioned at 9th, showcasing a competitive mid-table encounter.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Villarreal has shown resilience and consistency. They secured a win against Betis away (2-1) and another victory over Getafe (2-1), also on the road. They managed a goalless draw against Ath Bilbao at home, displaying defensive solidity. Villarreal's recent form is bolstered by their average of 2.2 goals scored and just 0.8 goals conceded per game in their last five matches. Their expected goals metrics align closely with these figures, suggesting they are playing to their potential. On the other hand, Sociedad's recent form has been more inconsistent. They suffered a 0-2 defeat at home to Mallorca but bounced back with wins against Las Palmas (3-1) away and Valladolid (2-1) at home. However, Sociedad's defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches. This defensive frailty is mirrored in their expected goals conceded, which stands at 1.906, indicating potential defensive lapses.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's strong recent form and more robust defensive record give them the edge in this matchup against Sociedad. The key factor to watch will be Villarreal's ability to capitalize on Sociedad's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Fans should also keep an eye on Villarreal's attacking prowess, which could be the decisive factor in securing their predicted victory.