La Liga 2024-2025: Villarreal vs Espanol Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
90%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Villarreal ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 1)

Espanol ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 1

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Villarreal and Espanyol heavily favors the home team, Villarreal, with a whopping 90.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Espanyol has a slim 4.0% chance of securing a victory. A draw stands at 6.0%. Villarreal is currently positioned 6th in La Liga, holding onto aspirations for European competition, while Espanyol is in 13th place, striving to climb higher in the standings. The match is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of exceeding this mark.

Match Analysis

Villarreal's recent form has been a mixed bag. They suffered a heavy defeat against Celta with a 3-0 scoreline away but bounced back with a win against Betis, overcoming them 2-1 on the road. A home draw against Sociedad, finishing 2-2, adds to the unpredictability of their recent performances. Despite this inconsistency, Villarreal's offensive capabilities are evident, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Their defense, however, could be a concern, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Espanyol, on the other hand, is on a promising short run. They secured victories against Getafe and Celta, both with clean sheets, and managed a draw against Valencia. They have shown resilience at the back, conceding just 0.6 goals on average in their last five outings. While their expected goals scored (1.058) are lower than Villarreal's, their defensive solidity might be a crucial factor in this clash.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's strong home advantage and potent attack give them a clear edge in this encounter. With Espanyol's recent defensive form, the game might see limited scoring opportunities, aligning with the predicted under 2.5 goals outcome. A key factor to watch will be Villarreal's ability to break down Espanyol’s defense, as both teams look to capitalize on their respective strengths.