La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction
Vallecano
Home Team
28%
VS
Villarreal
Away Team
51%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
58%
Under 2.5:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 51 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 45 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Vallecano | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 | Betis | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Girona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Sociedad | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
| 14 | Celta | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
| 15 | Espanol | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
| 19 | Alaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 52 | -37 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
Villarreal
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 4 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.43
# Clean Sheets:
2
Villarreal
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Villarreal is projected to tilt in favor of the visiting team, Villarreal, which holds a 51.00% probability of securing a win. Vallecano, despite playing at home, has a 28.00% chance of victory, while a draw stands at 21.00%. Villarreal, positioned in 5th place with 41 points, appears to have the upper hand against 6th-placed Vallecano, who has accumulated 35 points. Additionally, the game is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 58.00% likelihood.
Match Analysis
Vallecano enters the match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They have secured two consecutive 1-0 victories against Valladolid and Leganes, showcasing their ability to keep clean sheets. However, their 1-0 loss to Barcelona highlights room for improvement against top-tier teams. Vallecano's recent form is underscored by an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings, coupled with a similar figure in expected goals, indicating a consistent attacking presence.
Villarreal has demonstrated a robust offensive approach, notably with a commanding 5-1 triumph over Valladolid. Their recent form also includes a 2-1 win against Las Palmas and a 1-1 draw with Valencia. Villarreal's attacking metrics are solid, scoring 1.6 goals on average in their last five matches, with expected goals mirroring this at 1.816. Despite their attacking prowess, they have only managed one clean sheet in the same period, indicating vulnerabilities at the back.
Final Prediction
Villarreal's superior standing in the league and their recent attacking form offer them a distinct edge over Vallecano. Their ability to find the back of the net consistently, paired with Vallecano's occasional defensive lapses, could prove pivotal. A key factor to watch will be Villarreal's offensive dynamism, which might dictate the pace and outcome of the game.