La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
58%
VS

Valencia

Away Team
19%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Vallecano ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)

Valencia ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.32
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.24
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Vallecano is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Valencia, with a 58.0% probability of securing the win. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 47.0% probability for an under 2.5 goals outcome. In the current La Liga standings, Vallecano sits in 10th place, while Valencia trails slightly behind in 13th.

Match Analysis

Vallecano's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, managing only one win in their last three matches. They suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at home to Espanol and lost 3-1 in an away game against Ath Bilbao. However, they redeemed themselves with a solid 2-0 victory over Alaves away from home. Vallecano's advanced metrics indicate a low average of 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches, but they have shown potential with an average expected goals of 1.402, suggesting they might convert more chances in the upcoming match. Valencia, on the other hand, appears to be on an upward trajectory with three consecutive victories. They have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last three games, including a notable 2-1 win against Real Madrid away. Valencia has averaged 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches, showing a good scoring form, although they have conceded an average of 2.6 goals, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities. Their expected goals and conceded metrics suggest a need for defensive improvement.

Final Prediction

Vallecano's home advantage and their higher league standing give them an edge in this contest. Despite recent inconsistencies, their potential to score more than their recent average could be a decisive factor. A key aspect to watch will be whether Valencia can maintain their winning momentum while shoring up their defensive line against a Vallecano side eager to capitalize on home turf.