La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Sociedad Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
50%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
26%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Recent Trends

Vallecano ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)

Sociedad ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.05
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Sociedad is predicted to favor the home team, Vallecano, with a 50.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is 24.0%, while Sociedad has a 26.0% chance of securing the victory. Given their current positions in La Liga, Vallecano sits in 8th place with 36 points, closely trailed by Sociedad in 11th place with 34 points. The match is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 43.0%.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Vallecano has shown a mixed bag of performances with a loss to Real Madrid (1-2), a draw against Sevilla (1-1), and another defeat to Villarreal (0-1). Their ability to score has been somewhat consistent, averaging 1.2 goals per game, yet they have managed only one clean sheet in their last five matches. Defensively, they concede an average of 0.8 goals per game, which reflects a solid backline. Contrastingly, Sociedad has struggled in recent fixtures, losing to Sevilla (0-1) and Barcelona (0-4) but managing a convincing win against Leganes (3-0). Their scoring woes are evident with an average of just 0.2 goals per game over the last five matches. Additionally, they have been vulnerable at the back, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. These metrics highlight Sociedad's current form issues on both ends of the pitch.

Final Prediction

Vallecano appears to have the upper hand, largely due to their more stable recent performances and home advantage. A key factor to watch for is Vallecano's ability to leverage their defensive solidity against Sociedad's struggling attack. Their ability to convert expected goals into actual ones might make the difference in this matchup.