La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction
Vallecano
Home Team
53%
VS
Sevilla
Away Team
23%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 54 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 53 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Vallecano | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 35 |
| 7 | Betis | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Celta | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Girona | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Getafe | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Espanol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Leganes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Valencia | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 23 |
| 19 | Alaves | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 22 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 59 | -43 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.47
# Clean Sheets:
2
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.56
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Sevilla is projected to tilt in favor of the home team, with Vallecano having a 53.0% probability of securing the win. Currently sitting in 6th place in La Liga, Vallecano is looking to solidify their position, while 11th-placed Sevilla aims to climb higher in the standings. The game is also anticipated to feature less than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 49.0% for this outcome.
Match Analysis
Vallecano's recent form has seen them experience mixed results. After a narrow 1-0 victory against Valladolid, they faced back-to-back 1-0 defeats against Villarreal and Barcelona. This pattern suggests a solid defensive setup but a struggle to find the back of the net consistently. Vallecano's advanced metrics indicate an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded over their last five matches, reflecting a balanced yet cautious approach.
Sevilla, on the other hand, has shown a more dynamic offensive display, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their recent outings. They managed a commanding 4-0 win over Valladolid and drew 1-1 against Mallorca, but their defensive frailties were exposed in a 4-1 defeat to Barcelona. Despite their attacking prowess, Sevilla's defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals over their last five matches, which could be a pivotal factor in this encounter.
Final Prediction
Vallecano's home advantage and stronger defensive record provide them with a noticeable edge in this matchup. Although Sevilla boasts a potent attack, Vallecano's ability to keep clean sheets could prove decisive. Fans should keep an eye on Vallecano's defense, as their ability to thwart Sevilla's attacking threats will be crucial in determining the outcome of this intriguing La Liga fixture.