La Liga 2024-2025: Vallecano vs Getafe Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
34%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
41%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Vallecano ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)

Getafe ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 1

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Vallecano and Getafe, the away team, Getafe, stands as the predicted winner with a 41.0% probability. Meanwhile, Vallecano has a 34.0% chance of securing a home victory, and a draw is pegged at 25.0%. With respect to goals, the match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 54.0%. Currently, Vallecano holds the 11th position in the league standings, while Getafe is close behind in 12th place.

Match Analysis

Vallecano has been struggling recently, with a disappointing run in their last three matches. They suffered losses against Ath Madrid and Ath Bilbao, both away, and managed only a draw at home against Valencia. Their average goal-scoring rate in the last five games is a mere 0.8, while they have been conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Expectation-wise, Vallecano's xG (expected goals) is slightly higher at 0.972, suggesting they may not be fully capitalizing on their chances. Defensively, their expected goals against (xGA) stands at 1.612, indicating vulnerabilities that Getafe might exploit. Getafe, despite their recent losses, shows a slightly better offensive form with an average of 1.6 goals scored in their last five matches. However, they have also been on a losing streak, falling to Real Madrid, Espanol, and Las Palmas. Encouragingly for Getafe, their defense has been more robust, conceding just 0.8 goals on average per game in the same period. Their xG of 1.198 indicates a stronger attacking potential compared to Vallecano, while their xGA of 0.918 suggests a more solid defensive setup.

Final Prediction

Getafe's slight edge in predicted probabilities can be attributed to their higher average scoring and more robust defensive metrics. With Vallecano struggling to convert their chances and showing defensive frailties, Getafe's balanced approach could provide the key to victory. A critical factor to watch will be Getafe's ability to maintain their defensive solidity while capitalizing on Vallecano's defensive lapses.