La Liga 2024-2025: Valladolid vs Osasuna Prediction

Valladolid

Home Team
16%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
68%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 37%
Under 2.5: 63%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)

Osasuna ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 0

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.22
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Valladolid and Osasuna sees the latter as the clear favorite, with a 68.0% probability of snatching the victory. In contrast, Valladolid's chances stand at a mere 16.0%, with the same probability for a draw. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a 63.0% chance that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals. Valladolid currently struggles at the bottom of the La Liga standings in the 20th position, while Osasuna, sitting in 12th, looks to capitalize on their higher standing.

Match Analysis

Valladolid faces an uphill battle, coming off the back of three consecutive defeats, including a 4-0 home loss to Getafe and a 4-2 away defeat against Ath Madrid. Their recent form is concerning, as they have been unable to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. Despite creating opportunities, with an average of 0.814 expected goals, their inability to convert these chances into actual goals remains a glaring issue. In contrast, Osasuna has shown resilience, avoiding defeat in their last three matches with a win against Girona and two draws against Leganes and Ath Bilbao. Although Osasuna's scoring rate is modest, with an average of 0.4 goals per match over the last five games, their defensive efforts have been more commendable, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Their expected goals metric of 1.164 indicates a potential for more prolific performances upfront, which could pose problems for Valladolid's vulnerable defense.

Final Prediction

Osasuna's superior form and league positioning give them a distinct advantage in this matchup. Valladolid's defensive frailties and lack of goal-scoring prowess make it difficult to see them overturning their recent fortunes. A key factor to watch will be Osasuna's ability to capitalize on Valladolid's defensive lapses, which could be decisive in securing the three points.