La Liga 2024-2025: Valladolid vs Las Palmas Prediction

Valladolid

Home Team
26%
VS

Las Palmas

Away Team
49%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 37%
Under 2.5: 63%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Recent Trends

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 7)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)

Las Palmas ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.81
# Clean Sheets: 0

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.87
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Valladolid and Las Palmas is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 49.0% probability of Las Palmas emerging victorious. Meanwhile, Valladolid has a 26.0% chance of securing a win on home turf. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24.0%. Both teams occupy the lower rungs of the La Liga table, with Valladolid languishing at the bottom in 20th place and Las Palmas positioned slightly above in 17th.

Match Analysis

Both teams are coming into this match on the back of unfavorable results. Valladolid has endured a tough run, losing all three of their most recent fixtures. Their defensive frailties have been ruthlessly exposed, conceding a staggering 12 goals while only netting once. In contrast, Las Palmas have also suffered three consecutive defeats, albeit by narrower margins, conceding seven goals and scoring twice during this period. Advanced metrics paint a concerning picture for both sides. Valladolid's goal-scoring record is dismal, with an average of 0.4 goals per game in their last five encounters, complemented by an expected goals figure of 0.67. Their defense has been porous, conceding 2.4 goals per game on average. Las Palmas, while slightly more efficient in attack with an average of 1.0 goals per game, have been equally vulnerable at the back, conceding an average of 2.0 goals.

Final Prediction

Las Palmas hold the edge in this fixture primarily due to their relatively better offensive metrics and slightly more resilient defense. A key factor to watch will be whether Valladolid can tighten up their defensive structure to avoid another high-scoring loss. For Las Palmas, capitalizing on Valladolid's defensive woes will be crucial if they are to secure a much-needed three points to lift them further from the relegation zone.