La Liga 2024-2025: Valladolid vs Getafe Prediction

Valladolid

Home Team
24%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
55%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 0

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Getafe is predicted to come out on top in the upcoming clash against Valladolid, with a 55.0% probability of an away victory. Valladolid, currently languishing at the bottom of the La Liga standings, has a mere 24.0% chance of securing a win at home. The predicted scoreline suggests a game with under 2.5 goals, pointing towards a potentially low-scoring affair. With Valladolid desperately needing points to avoid relegation, every match is crucial at this stage.

Match Analysis

Valladolid's recent form has been far from inspiring, having lost all three of their last matches. They've struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just two goals across those games while conceding five. This lack of firepower is reflected in their average of 0.4 goals per game over their last five outings. Compounding their woes is the defensive frailty that has seen them concede an average of 1.8 goals in the same period, a stat that doesn't bode well for their chances of a turnaround. In contrast, Getafe appears to be on a more positive trajectory. They have secured two wins in their last three matches, including an impressive victory against Atletico Madrid. Getafe's offense has been relatively more productive, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game in their recent fixtures. Their defense has also been more resolute, conceding just 0.6 goals on average. These metrics highlight a team that is finding form at a critical time in the season.

Final Prediction

Getafe's superior recent form and statistical edge in both offensive and defensive metrics give them a clear advantage heading into this match. Valladolid's struggles in both scoring and defending will likely prove too much to overcome against a Getafe side that seems to be gaining momentum. A key factor to watch will be whether Valladolid can break their scoring drought against a disciplined Getafe defense, which could be crucial for any chance of a positive result.