La Liga 2024-2025: Valladolid vs Barcelona Prediction

Valladolid

Home Team
0%
VS

Barcelona

Away Team
99%
Draw: 0%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 0

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.84
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Barcelona is predicted to win against Valladolid with a staggering 99.0% probability, while the likelihood of a home victory or a draw is virtually non-existent. Additionally, the game is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals with a 58.0% chance. Barcelona currently sits at the top of the La Liga standings, whereas Valladolid is struggling at the bottom, in 20th position.

Match Analysis

Valladolid's recent form has been concerning, losing all of their last three matches. They have been outscored significantly, conceding 12 goals while only managing to find the back of the net five times. This highlights their defensive vulnerabilities and their struggle to capitalize on scoring opportunities. In contrast, Barcelona has been in fine form, securing three consecutive victories. They have demonstrated solid defense, with two clean sheets, and have scored six goals in their last three games. Advanced metrics further emphasize the disparity between the two teams. Valladolid has scored an average of just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches and has conceded 2.6, indicating a fragile defense. Barcelona, on the other hand, has been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.4 goals per match while keeping their defense tight with only 0.8 goals conceded per game. Their expected goals metrics also reflect their dominance, with Barcelona's 2.07 expected goals significantly outweighing Valladolid's 1.058.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's superiority in both form and statistics gives them a clear edge over Valladolid. Their consistent scoring ability and strong defensive record make them the favorites for this encounter. A key factor to watch during the game will be how Valladolid's defense copes with Barcelona's attacking prowess, which could heavily influence the final scoreline.