La Liga 2024-2025: Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction

Valencia

Home Team
51%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
24%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Valencia ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 3)

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.91
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Valencia and Sevilla sees Valencia as the predicted winner, with a 51.0% probability of securing a victory on their home turf. Sevilla, on the other hand, stands a 24.0% chance of leaving with all three points, while a draw is slightly more likely at 25.0%. Currently, Valencia is positioned 14th in La Liga, while Sevilla is slightly ahead in 12th place. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 41.0% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Valencia comes into this match on the back of a solid run, having remained unbeaten in their last three fixtures. Their recent triumph over Real Madrid, particularly an away win with a score of 2-1, has undoubtedly boosted their morale. This was followed by a narrow 1-0 victory against Mallorca at home and a 1-1 draw away at Girona. The team's average goals scored and conceded in the last five games stand at 1.4 and 1.0, respectively, showing a balanced performance on both ends of the pitch. Conversely, Sevilla's recent form has been less inspiring, marked by a troubling streak of three consecutive losses. They suffered a 2-1 defeat at home against Atletico Madrid, followed by a 2-1 away loss to Betis, and a 1-0 setback at home to Athletic Bilbao. Despite scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, they have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per game, and managing only one clean sheet during this period.

Final Prediction

Valencia's recent string of positive performances, including a notable victory against a strong Real Madrid side, gives them an edge heading into this fixture. Their ability to find the back of the net, combined with a sturdy defense, could prove decisive against a Sevilla team struggling to regain form. A key factor to watch will be Valencia's ability to capitalize on their home advantage and maintain their defensive discipline to secure a favorable result.