La Liga 2024-2025: Valencia vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Valencia

Home Team
16%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
70%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 24 16 3 5 65 25 40 51
2 Real Madrid 24 15 6 3 52 23 29 51
3 Ath Madrid 24 14 8 2 39 16 23 50
4 Ath Bilbao 24 12 9 3 37 21 16 45
5 Villarreal 24 11 8 5 47 35 12 41
6 Vallecano 24 9 8 7 27 25 2 35
7 Mallorca 24 10 4 10 23 30 -7 34
8 Betis 24 8 8 8 30 31 -1 32
9 Osasuna 24 7 11 6 29 33 -4 32
10 Girona 24 9 4 11 32 35 -3 31
11 Sociedad 24 9 4 11 20 23 -3 31
12 Sevilla 24 8 7 9 29 34 -5 31
13 Getafe 24 7 9 8 20 18 2 30
14 Celta 24 8 5 11 35 38 -3 29
15 Espanol 24 6 6 12 23 36 -13 24
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 22 35 -13 24
17 Las Palmas 24 6 5 13 29 41 -12 23
18 Valencia 24 5 8 11 25 38 -13 23
19 Alaves 24 5 7 12 28 38 -10 22
20 Valladolid 24 4 3 17 15 52 -37 15

Recent Trends

Valencia ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 7)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)

Ath Madrid ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.58
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Valencia and Atlético Madrid leans heavily in favor of the visiting team. With a 70% probability of winning, Atlético Madrid is the predicted victor of this encounter. As for goals, the match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with just a 43% chance of exceeding that number. In the La Liga standings, Atlético Madrid sits comfortably in third place, while Valencia finds itself in a precarious 18th position, battling against relegation.

Match Analysis

Valencia enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They have shown resilience with a draw against Villarreal and victories over Leganes and Celta. Notably, they managed two clean sheets in their last five matches, highlighting a potential defensive solidity. Their average goals scored in the last five games stand at 1.6, while their defense has conceded an average of 1.0 goals, which is a positive trend for a team fighting against relegation. Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, maintains a strong form with an impressive unbeaten streak in their last three games. They secured a notable draw against Real Madrid and a win against Mallorca. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded in their last five matches, Atlético Madrid's defensive prowess is evident. Their offensive capabilities are further boosted by an average expected goals of 1.946, showcasing their attacking threat.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's edge in this encounter stems from their solid defensive record and consistent attacking performances. Their ability to stifle opponents, as seen in their recent matches, gives them a significant advantage over Valencia. A key factor to watch during the game will be Atlético Madrid's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, potentially sealing Valencia's fate in the relegation zone.