La Liga 2024-2025: Sociedad vs Valladolid Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
88%
VS

Valladolid

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 38%
Under 2.5: 62%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 27 19 3 5 75 27 48 60
2 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 59 27 32 60
3 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 46 22 24 56
4 Ath Bilbao 28 14 10 4 46 24 22 52
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 49 38 11 44
6 Betis 28 12 8 8 38 35 3 44
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 28 34 -6 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 41 41 0 39
9 Vallecano 28 9 10 9 31 31 0 37
10 Sevilla 28 9 9 10 32 37 -5 36
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 25 23 2 36
12 Sociedad 28 10 5 13 25 30 -5 35
13 Girona 28 9 7 12 36 41 -5 34
14 Osasuna 27 7 12 8 33 39 -6 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 26 39 -13 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 31 46 -15 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 32 42 -10 27
18 Leganes 28 6 9 13 26 43 -17 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 32 47 -15 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 18 63 -45 16

Recent Trends

Sociedad ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 3)

Valladolid ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 7)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.15
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Valladolid is heavily tipped in favor of the home side. Sociedad has an 88.0% probability of securing a victory, while Valladolid's chances stand at a mere 5.0%. A draw is also unlikely, with only a 7.0% probability. Sociedad is currently positioned 12th in La Liga, whereas Valladolid is struggling at the bottom of the table in 20th place. Furthermore, the game is predicted to remain under 2.5 goals, with a 38.0% chance of exceeding that mark.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Sociedad has shown a blend of resilience and vulnerability. Their last three outings resulted in a draw against Vallecano (2-2), a narrow home defeat to Sevilla (0-1), and a heavy loss to league leaders Barcelona (0-4). Despite these mixed results, Sociedad has managed to maintain a consistent average of 1.2 goals scored per game in their last five matches, while conceding 1.0 on average. Their ability to create goal-scoring opportunities is reflected in their expected goals metric of 1.124. On the other hand, Valladolid's recent form paints a grim picture. They have been unable to secure a win in their last three matches, most notably losing to Celta (0-1) and Valencia (1-2), and drawing with Las Palmas (1-1). Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 3.4 goals per game in their last five fixtures. This defensive fragility is highlighted by their expected goals against of 3.148. Offensively, Valladolid has struggled, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game in recent matches.

Final Prediction

Sociedad's significant edge in this encounter stems from their superior league position and a more stable defensive record compared to Valladolid's leaky backline. The key factor to watch will be how Sociedad capitalizes on Valladolid's defensive lapses, potentially dictating the tempo of the match and controlling possession to secure the predicted victory.