La Liga 2024-2025: Sociedad vs Sevilla Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
64%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
17%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Ath Madrid 26 16 8 2 43 16 27 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 55 25 30 54
4 Ath Bilbao 26 13 9 4 44 23 21 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Betis 26 10 8 8 34 33 1 38
7 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 28 27 1 36
8 Mallorca 26 10 6 10 25 32 -7 36
9 Sociedad 26 10 4 12 23 27 -4 34
10 Celta 26 9 6 11 38 40 -2 33
11 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
12 Sevilla 26 8 9 9 31 36 -5 33
13 Girona 26 9 5 12 34 39 -5 32
14 Getafe 26 7 9 10 21 21 0 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 26 6 9 11 23 38 -15 27
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 30 44 -14 24
18 Valencia 26 5 9 12 28 44 -16 24
19 Alaves 26 5 8 13 29 40 -11 23
20 Valladolid 26 4 4 18 17 60 -43 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.04
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Sevilla strongly favors Sociedad with a 64.0% probability of a home victory. Sociedad's position at 9th on the La Liga table contrasts with Sevilla's 12th place, adding to the home team's advantage. The predicted outcome leans toward a low-scoring affair, with a 40.0% chance of the match ending with under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Sociedad has experienced a mixed bag of results, most recently suffering a heavy defeat to Barcelona away, conceding four goals without reply. However, they showcased resilience with a 3-0 victory against Leganes at home. Despite their inconsistency, Sociedad remains hopeful to capitalize on their home advantage. Their recent average of 1.2 goals per game, paired with conceding just 0.8, indicates a potential for a solid defensive performance. Sevilla, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a slightly more stable performance streak. They managed a convincing 4-0 away victory over Valladolid but were held to consecutive 1-1 draws against Vallecano and Mallorca. Sevilla's attacking prowess is underpinned by an average of 1.8 goals scored over their last five games, yet their defense remains a concern, letting in an average of 1.2 goals in the same period.

Final Prediction

Sociedad's edge in this contest draws from their superior home performance and the statistical edge in defensive solidity. The key factor to watch in this match will be whether Sociedad can maintain their defensive discipline against a Sevilla side that has shown they can score but also struggle to keep opponents at bay. Football fans should keep an eye on Sociedad's ability to exploit Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities and possibly secure a crucial win.