La Liga 2024-2025: Sociedad vs Mallorca Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
75%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 36%
Under 2.5: 64%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 0

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Real Sociedad is strongly favored to win their upcoming match against Mallorca, with a 75.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of a Mallorca win is significantly lower at 11.0%, and the possibility of a draw stands at 14.0%. The match is also predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 36.0% probability of exceeding this goal threshold. In the La Liga standings, Sociedad is currently in 8th place with 41 points, while Mallorca trails closely behind in 10th place with 40 points.

Match Analysis

Sociedad enters this match in relatively good form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three outings. They recently triumphed over Las Palmas and Valladolid, showcasing their ability to score consistently with a total of five goals in these victories. However, they did concede goals in each of these matches, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. On the metrics front, Sociedad has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches while conceding 1.2, reflecting a balanced yet slightly leaky defense. Mallorca, on the other hand, has struggled in recent weeks, suffering two losses and achieving just one win in their last three games. Their offensive output has been notably low, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored per match in their last five appearances. In terms of defensive performance, Mallorca has been conceding at a higher rate of 1.8 goals per game during the same period. These statistics suggest a challenging scenario for Mallorca as they prepare to face Sociedad.

Final Prediction

The prediction leans heavily in favor of a Sociedad victory, primarily due to their superior recent form and Mallorca's ongoing struggles in both scoring and defense. A key factor to watch during the game will be Sociedad's ability to capitalize on Mallorca's defensive weaknesses, which could prove decisive in securing the win. Expect Sociedad to push forward, making use of their recent offensive momentum to maintain their edge over Mallorca.