La Liga 2024-2025: Sociedad vs Leganes Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
86%
VS

Leganes

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 35%
Under 2.5: 65%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 24 16 3 5 65 25 40 51
2 Real Madrid 24 15 6 3 52 23 29 51
3 Ath Madrid 24 14 8 2 39 16 23 50
4 Ath Bilbao 24 12 9 3 37 21 16 45
5 Villarreal 24 11 8 5 47 35 12 41
6 Vallecano 24 9 8 7 27 25 2 35
7 Mallorca 24 10 4 10 23 30 -7 34
8 Betis 24 8 8 8 30 31 -1 32
9 Osasuna 24 7 11 6 29 33 -4 32
10 Girona 24 9 4 11 32 35 -3 31
11 Sociedad 24 9 4 11 20 23 -3 31
12 Sevilla 24 8 7 9 29 34 -5 31
13 Getafe 24 7 9 8 20 18 2 30
14 Celta 24 8 5 11 35 38 -3 29
15 Espanol 24 6 6 12 23 36 -13 24
16 Leganes 24 5 9 10 22 35 -13 24
17 Las Palmas 24 6 5 13 29 41 -12 23
18 Valencia 24 5 8 11 25 38 -13 23
19 Alaves 24 5 7 12 28 38 -10 22
20 Valladolid 24 4 3 17 15 52 -37 15

Recent Trends

Sociedad ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)

Leganes ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 0

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.76
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Leganes is heavily tipped in favor of the home side, with an 86% probability of Sociedad clinching the victory. The chances for Leganes to upset are a mere 6%, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 8%. Both teams are currently positioned in the lower half of the La Liga standings, with Sociedad at 11th and Leganes at 16th. The match is expected to feature less than 2.5 goals, indicating a tight affair with limited scoring opportunities.

Match Analysis

Sociedad's recent form has been inconsistent, having won just one of their last three matches. A home victory against Espanyol is sandwiched between two losses to Betis and Osasuna. Despite scoring only one goal on average in the last five games, Sociedad has shown a slightly better defensive record, conceding 0.8 goals per match. Their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest they might create more chances than they have converted recently, with an average xG of 1.164. Leganes, on the other hand, are on a concerning streak, having failed to secure a win in their last three encounters. A draw against Alaves was followed by defeats to Valencia and Vallecano. With an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game, their attacking threat has been minimal. However, their defensive efforts have been somewhat commendable, managing two clean sheets in their last five games. Despite this, they face a challenge as their expected goals conceded (xGA) of 1.764 indicates potential vulnerabilities at the back.

Final Prediction

Sociedad holds a distinct edge in this matchup, primarily due to their stronger standing in the league and a better overall defensive record. Leganes' recent struggles in front of goal could be a decisive factor, as they face a Sociedad side that, while not prolific, has shown resilience defensively. Watch out for Sociedad's ability to capitalize on their chances, which could be the key difference in securing a vital home win.