La Liga 2024-2025: Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
54%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
23%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Sociedad ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)

Ath Bilbao ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.85
# Clean Sheets: 0

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Real Sociedad is favored to claim victory against Athletic Bilbao with a 54% probability, while the chances for the away team and a draw are both at 23%. The predicted result leans towards a home win, with the teams expected to have a tight match that is likely to feature under 2.5 goals. Sociedad currently sits in 10th place in La Liga, while Bilbao's position is not provided in the standings data.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Real Sociedad has struggled to find form, with two losses and a draw in their last three outings. Their recent defeat to Alaves and a draw with Villarreal highlight their inability to secure wins. Additionally, a home loss to Mallorca indicates challenges on their turf. Despite averaging 1.4 goals in their last five matches, they have failed to keep any clean sheets, a cause for concern against Bilbao. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has shown resilience with two wins in their last three games. Their recent victory over Las Palmas and a strong win against Vallecano at home suggests a team capable of bouncing back from adversity, such as their narrow loss to Real Madrid. Defensively, Bilbao appears more organized, boasting three clean sheets in five games and conceding fewer goals on average compared to Sociedad.

Final Prediction

Sociedad is positioned as the likely winner due to their higher probability of victory and home advantage, despite recent inconsistencies. The key factor to watch will be Bilbao's defensive organization against Sociedad's offensive efforts, which may decide the outcome in this tightly contested affair. With both teams showing potential for low-scoring games, fans can expect a strategic battle on the pitch.