La Liga 2024-2025: Sevilla vs Mallorca Prediction
Sevilla
Home Team
59%
VS
Mallorca
Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 51 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 45 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Vallecano | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 | Betis | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Girona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Sociedad | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
| 14 | Celta | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
| 15 | Espanol | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
| 19 | Alaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 52 | -37 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
2
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.41
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Sevilla and Mallorca sees Sevilla as the predicted winner with a 59.00% probability of a home victory. The likelihood of a Mallorca win stands at 20.00%, while the chance of a draw is 21.00%. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 41.00% probability of exceeding this mark. In the La Liga standings, Sevilla sits in 12th place, while Mallorca holds the 7th position.
Match Analysis
In their recent matches, Sevilla has shown a mixed bag of results. They secured a commanding 4-0 away victory against Valladolid, showcasing their potential for decisive wins. However, they suffered a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Barcelona, which highlighted their vulnerabilities. Their goalless draw with Getafe further underscores their inconsistency. Key metrics reveal Sevilla's average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game in the last five outings, with two clean sheets indicating sporadic defensive solidity.
Mallorca, on the other hand, has had a slightly less consistent run. They achieved a 3-1 home victory over Las Palmas, but this was offset by a 1-1 draw against Osasuna and a 2-0 defeat to Atletico Madrid. Mallorca's average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game suggests defensive frailties. Despite a higher expected goals average than Sevilla at 1.084, Mallorca has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, which could be a critical factor against a Sevilla side looking to capitalize on home advantage.
Final Prediction
Sevilla's edge in this matchup comes primarily from their potential to perform well at home and the ability to score decisively, as shown in their recent victory over Valladolid. With Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of clean sheets, Sevilla's chance to exploit these weaknesses at home could be pivotal. A key factor to watch will be whether Sevilla can maintain defensive concentration to secure a much-needed win and climb the league standings.