La Liga 2024-2025: Sevilla vs Leganes Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
73%
VS

Leganes

Away Team
12%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Sevilla ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)

Leganes ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 0

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Leganes is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, Sevilla, with a 73.0% chance of securing victory. In contrast, Leganes has a mere 12.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 15.0%. The game is also predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% probability of exceeding that mark. Currently, Sevilla is positioned 15th in La Liga, while Leganes is battling relegation concerns at 19th.

Match Analysis

Sevilla's recent form has been less than stellar, with no victories in their last three matches. They suffered losses against Osasuna and Valencia, both with a 0-1 scoreline, and managed a 1-1 draw against Alaves at home. Their offensive struggles are evident, scoring an average of only 0.8 goals per game over their last five matches, while conceding 1.8 goals on average. Despite their higher expected goals (xG) of 1.136 per game, their conversion rates are letting them down. On the other hand, Leganes has also been struggling, recording two draws and a loss in their last three outings. They drew 1-1 with Girona and 0-0 with Mallorca, showing some defensive resilience, but failed to score against Barcelona, losing 0-1. Their average goals scored per game in the last five matches is a low 0.6, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded. Their expected goals scored (xG) is slightly better at 1.002, indicating potential that hasn't translated into goals.

Final Prediction

Sevilla's higher probability of winning is largely due to their home advantage and the overall quality gap between the two squads. Despite their recent dip in form, Sevilla has enough firepower and tactical acumen to overcome a Leganes side that has been porous in defense. A key factor to watch will be Sevilla's ability to capitalize on their chances, as their expected goals suggest they can create opportunities against a struggling Leganes defense.