La Liga 2024-2025: Sevilla vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
21%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
63%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)

Ath Madrid ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid is poised to favor the visitors, with a 63.0% probability of a win for Atlético. In contrast, Sevilla's chances of a victory stand at 21.0%. The likelihood of a draw is the lowest at 16.0%. Given the current standings in La Liga, Atlético Madrid is in a strong 3rd place with 57 points, while Sevilla sits in 11th position with 36 points. The match is also predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% probability for over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In recent weeks, Sevilla has experienced a mixed bag of results, with only one win in their last three games, against Sociedad. Their form has been less than stellar, with two losses to Betis and Athletic Bilbao. These results reflect their current struggles in the league, and their average of 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings indicates a challenge in finding the back of the net. Defensively, Sevilla has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game over the same period. On the other hand, Atlético Madrid's recent performances haven't lived up to their usual high standards either, having drawn with Espanyol and suffered losses to both Barcelona and Getafe. Despite this, Atlético's metrics suggest potential; they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded in their last five matches. Their expected goals (xG) scored is notably higher at 1.802, indicating they have the capability to create scoring opportunities. With two clean sheets in their last five games, their defense remains resilient.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's standing in the league and their better underlying metrics give them an edge over Sevilla in this fixture. The visitors' ability to generate scoring chances and maintain a solid defense could be pivotal. A key factor to watch will be Atlético's execution in front of goal, as their higher expected goals suggest they have the potential to capitalize on their opportunities against a struggling Sevilla side.