La Liga 2024-2025: Sevilla vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
18%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
67%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Recent Trends

Sevilla ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)

Ath Bilbao ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 7 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao is anticipated to favor the visitors, Athletic Bilbao, with a significant 67.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Sevilla's chances of a home victory stand at 18.0%, and the likelihood of a draw is at 16.0%. Athletic Bilbao, currently sitting in 4th place, seems poised to capitalize on Sevilla’s vulnerabilities, as the hosts are positioned 10th in the league. The game is also predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% chance of exceeding that mark.

Match Analysis

Sevilla has shown mixed performances in recent matches, securing a win against Sociedad but then drawing against Vallecano and Mallorca. A common theme in these games has been their struggle to convert opportunities, averaging just 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.4. Despite this, they have managed two clean sheets in their last five outings, indicating some defensive resilience. Advanced metrics reveal Sevilla's expected goals (xG) at 0.974, which suggests a consistent underperformance in attack. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has demonstrated a more dynamic offensive approach, notably with a thumping 7-1 victory over Valladolid. Despite a loss against Atletico Madrid and a draw with Mallorca, their attacking momentum remains intact, averaging 1.4 goals and an impressive 1.576 expected goals scored per game. Defensively, Bilbao concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game, showing a relatively sturdy backline that could complicate Sevilla's efforts to score.

Final Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's edge lies in their superior attacking metrics and recent goal-scoring exploits, positioning them as the favorites in this encounter. A key factor to watch will be their ability to penetrate Sevilla's defense, which has occasionally shown solidity. Fans should keep an eye on Bilbao's offensive players who could tilt the game in their favor, given Sevilla's recent inconsistencies in front of goal.