La Liga 2024-2025: Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
43%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
31%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)

Alaves ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 1

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.69
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Alaves is expected to see Sevilla taking the upper hand, with a 43.0% probability of a home victory. Alaves, currently positioned 17th in La Liga, has a 31.0% chance of winning. Additionally, the game is anticipated to be lively, with a predicted result of over 2.5 goals, holding a 50.0% likelihood. Sevilla stands at 14th in the league, looking to climb up the standings with a crucial win.

Match Analysis

Sevilla enters this match amidst a challenging period, having suffered three consecutive defeats. Their losses against Valencia, Ath Madrid, and Betis, albeit narrow, reflect a struggle in both offensive and defensive departments. With an average of just 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game over the last five matches, Sevilla's form suggests vulnerabilities, especially in defense. Despite their efforts, they've managed only one clean sheet in recent outings, indicating an area that requires bolstered focus. Alaves, meanwhile, have shown a mixed bag of results. They recently celebrated a victory against Girona but faced defeats against heavyweights Real Madrid and Vallecano. Alaves are averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceded in their last five games, indicating a relatively balanced performance. Their ability to keep two clean sheets in recent fixtures suggests a defensive resilience that could be pivotal against Sevilla.

Final Prediction

Sevilla is expected to have an edge in this encounter, primarily due to their home-ground advantage and the slightly higher probability of success. While both teams have shown defensive frailties, Sevilla's need to bounce back from a losing streak could fuel their drive. A key factor to watch will be Sevilla's ability to capitalize on their expected goals, which have been slightly underwhelming in recent matches.