La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Vallecano Prediction

Real Madrid

Home Team
92%
VS

Vallecano

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Ath Madrid 26 16 8 2 43 16 27 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 55 25 30 54
4 Ath Bilbao 26 13 9 4 44 23 21 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Betis 26 10 8 8 34 33 1 38
7 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 28 27 1 36
8 Mallorca 26 10 6 10 25 32 -7 36
9 Sociedad 26 10 4 12 23 27 -4 34
10 Celta 26 9 6 11 38 40 -2 33
11 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
12 Sevilla 26 8 9 9 31 36 -5 33
13 Girona 26 9 5 12 34 39 -5 32
14 Getafe 26 7 9 10 21 21 0 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 26 6 9 11 23 38 -15 27
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 30 44 -14 24
18 Valencia 26 5 9 12 28 44 -16 24
19 Alaves 26 5 8 13 29 40 -11 23
20 Valladolid 26 4 4 18 17 60 -43 16

Recent Trends

Real Madrid ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)

Vallecano ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 1

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is heavily favored to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Vallecano, with a staggering 92.0% chance of claiming the win. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 64.0%. Real Madrid currently sits in 3rd place in La Liga, whereas Vallecano is positioned 7th, striving to climb the league standings.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid's recent form has been mixed, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three encounters. Notably, they secured a home victory against Girona, scoring two goals and maintaining a clean sheet, which showcases their potential in attack and defense. Despite their stumble against Betis, their average of 2.6 goals scored per game in the last five matches reflects their offensive prowess. Moreover, they have an impressive expected goals figure of 3.494, indicating a strong attacking intent. On the other hand, Vallecano has been struggling to find the net, failing to score in two of their last three matches, resulting in losses against heavyweights like Villarreal and Barcelona. Although they managed a draw against Sevilla, their average goals scored stands at a modest 0.8 over the last five games. Vallecano's expected goals of 1.448 suggest they might find opportunities, but they face a daunting task against a formidable Real Madrid side. Their defense, too, has been leaky, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game and an expected goals conceded of 1.79, highlighting vulnerabilities that Real Madrid could exploit.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's superior attacking statistics and higher league position give them a distinct advantage in this matchup. Their ability to score in abundance, coupled with Vallecano's recent struggles in front of goal, sets the stage for a likely victory for the home team. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's forward line, as they look to capitalize on Vallecano's defensive frailties and secure an important win.