La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction

Real Madrid

Home Team
97%
VS

Valencia

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Real Madrid ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 0)

Valencia ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.32
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is predicted to come out victorious in their matchup against Valencia, with an overwhelming probability of 97.0%. The likelihood of the game featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 56.0%, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair. Currently, Real Madrid is in a strong second position in the La Liga standings, while Valencia finds themselves lower down the table, sitting at 15th place.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Real Madrid has secured three consecutive victories, displaying their attacking prowess by scoring multiple goals in each match. Their ability to find the back of the net has been consistent, as shown by their average of 2.4 goals scored per game in the last five matches. Defensively, they have been moderately solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per match. Valencia, on the other hand, has experienced mixed results with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three games. Although they have managed to score in each of their recent matches, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches. Real Madrid's advanced metrics highlight their attacking efficiency, with an impressive average of 3.302 expected goals per game, indicating their ability to create quality scoring chances. In contrast, Valencia's expected goals scored average of 1.178 suggests they may struggle to breach Madrid's defense effectively. Valencia's defensive frailties are further highlighted by their expected goals conceded average of 1.716, which could be exploited by Real Madrid's potent attack.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's recent form and superior attacking metrics give them a clear edge over Valencia. Their ability to consistently score goals and create opportunities will be crucial in overcoming Valencia's defense. A key factor to watch during the game will be Real Madrid's offensive play, which could determine the outcome and potentially lead to a high-scoring match.