La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction
Real Madrid
Home Team
96%
VS
Girona
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
65%
Under 2.5:
35%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 65 | 25 | 40 | 51 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 45 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Vallecano | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 34 |
| 8 | Betis | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Girona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Sociedad | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
| 14 | Celta | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
| 15 | Espanol | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Las Palmas | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
| 19 | Alaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 52 | -37 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Real Madrid
- Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Valladolid (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Las Palmas (Goals: 4 - 1)
Girona
- Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Real Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.90
# Clean Sheets:
1
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.43
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Girona is heavily tipped in favor of the home side, with a whopping 96% probability of a Real Madrid win. Meanwhile, Girona's chances are pegged at a mere 2%, with a 3% probability of a draw. Additionally, there is a 65% likelihood that the match will feature over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid currently occupies the 2nd spot in La Liga, while Girona is positioned 10th.
Match Analysis
Real Madrid's recent form has been somewhat shaky, with two draws and a loss in their last three matches. They drew 1-1 against Osasuna and Ath Madrid, and suffered a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Espanol. Despite this, their offensive prowess is undeniable, as evidenced by their impressive average of 3 goals per game over the last five matches. The team also boasts a solid defensive record, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per game.
On the other hand, Girona has had a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. They managed a 2-1 victory over Las Palmas, but fell short in their other two matches, losing 2-1 to Getafe and 3-0 to Ath Bilbao. Girona's attacking output has been modest, averaging just 1 goal per game in their last five, while their defense has been porous, conceding 1.8 goals on average. Their expected goals statistics further underscore their struggles, with an average of 0.742 expected goals scored versus 2.434 expected goals conceded in the last five matches.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid's superior offensive and defensive metrics give them a significant edge going into this encounter. Their ability to score goals at a high rate, coupled with Girona's defensive vulnerabilities, makes Los Blancos the clear favorites. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's attacking dynamism, as they look to capitalize on Girona's defensive frailties to secure a comprehensive victory.