La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Celta Prediction

Real Madrid

Home Team
85%
VS

Celta

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Real Madrid ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 2)

Celta ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.03
# Clean Sheets: 3

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Real Madrid, with a striking 85.0% probability of victory. The probability of a Celta win stands at a mere 6.0%, while an 8.0% chance exists for a draw. Real Madrid, sitting second in the league standings, appears poised to secure a win against seventh-placed Celta. Additionally, there's a 63.0% likelihood that the match will see over 2.5 goals scored.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid comes into this fixture with a strong recent performance, winning their last three matches, all with the same scoreline of 1-0 against Getafe, Athletic Bilbao, and Alaves. This run of victories has been characterized by solid defensive displays, earning them three clean sheets in these outings. The team has shown efficiency in front of goal with an average of 1.8 goals scored in their last five matches, complemented by a solid expected goals average of 2.662. Celta, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent performances. They secured an impressive 3-0 home victory over Villarreal but suffered defeats against Barcelona and Espanyol. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over the last five games, Celta's attacking prowess is evident, yet their defensive vulnerabilities are apparent too. Their expected goals scored and conceded metrics, at 1.708 and 1.134 respectively, suggest they can create opportunities but need to tighten up at the back.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's recent form, defensive solidity, and home advantage give them a significant edge going into this match against Celta. With their ability to consistently find the back of the net and keep opponents at bay, they are well-positioned to extend their winning streak. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could decisively influence the outcome of this encounter.