La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

Real Madrid

Home Team
89%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
5%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Real Madrid ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 2 - 1)

Ath Bilbao ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.32
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Athletic Bilbao, with an 89.0% probability of victory. The game is also expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a 59.0% chance. Currently, Real Madrid is positioned second in La Liga, only four points behind leaders Barcelona, while Athletic Bilbao is outside the top ten, potentially undermining their chances.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid's recent performances have been somewhat inconsistent, with a win against Alaves and Leganes but a surprising home defeat to Valencia. They have averaged 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.2 in their last five matches. Notably, their expected goals (xG) figures suggest they could be scoring more, with a 2.692 average. Defensively, they have managed just one clean sheet in recent fixtures, which may be a concern against a disciplined Athletic Bilbao side. Athletic Bilbao comes into this match having secured a win against Vallecano and two goalless draws against Villarreal and Osasuna. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by three clean sheets in their last five outings. However, offensively, they are lagging, with an average of only 0.8 goals per game despite an xG of 1.368. This lack of firepower could be a critical disadvantage against a formidable Real Madrid attack.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's superior attacking metrics and league position give them a clear edge in this encounter. Watch for how Athletic Bilbao’s defense copes with the home team’s offensive prowess. Real Madrid's ability to capitalize on their chances and Athletic Bilbao's defensive resistance will be key factors in determining the match outcome.