La Liga 2024-2025: Osasuna vs Valencia Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
53%
VS

Valencia

Away Team
24%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Recent Trends

Osasuna ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 1)

Valencia ❌ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 7)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 0

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Osasuna and Valencia sees Osasuna favored with a 53.0% probability of winning at home. While the probability of a Valencia victory stands at 24.0%, a draw is slightly less likely at 23.0%. The game is expected to have under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% chance of exceeding that mark. Currently, Osasuna is in 12th place with 32 points, while Valencia is struggling in 18th place with 23 points, a precarious position near the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Osasuna's recent form shows a string of mixed results, with a draw against Real Madrid at home showcasing their resilience. However, their away performances have been less convincing, evidenced by a loss to Celta and a draw against Mallorca. Their scoring and defensive metrics reveal an average of 1.4 goals both scored and conceded in their last five matches, indicating a balanced but unimpressive form. The team is yet to secure a clean sheet in recent games, a point of concern when facing a team desperate to climb out of the relegation zone. Valencia, on the other hand, has had a tumultuous run with a decisive loss at home against Atletico Madrid and a hard-fought draw away at Villarreal. Their solitary win against Leganes provides a glimmer of hope. Despite averaging only 0.8 goals per match in their last five outings, Valencia's defense has been their Achilles' heel, conceding an average of 2.2 goals. Notably, their expected goals conceded metric is slightly better, suggesting potential improvements in their defensive organization.

Final Prediction

Osasuna appears to have the upper hand due to their home advantage and slightly better recent form. The key factor to watch is how Valencia's defense copes with Osasuna's attack, especially given their current defensive vulnerabilities. The outcome of this game could have significant implications for Valencia, as they fight to avoid relegation.