La Liga 2024-2025: Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
47%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
27%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Osasuna ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 3)

Sevilla ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.25
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Sevilla is predicted to favor the home team, Osasuna, with a 47.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of Sevilla securing a victory stands at 27.0%, while a draw is a 26.0% possibility. The game is also expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 45.0% probability of having fewer than 2.5 goals. In La Liga standings, Osasuna holds the 11th position, while Sevilla is slightly lower in 15th place, making this a crucial encounter for both sides.

Match Analysis

Osasuna comes into this match with a positive momentum, having recently secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They emerged victorious against Valladolid and Girona, showcasing their ability to find the back of the net with three and two goals respectively. Their defense, however, remains a concern, conceding goals in each of these encounters. Osasuna's recent form is bolstered by their average of 1.8 goals scored per game over the last five matches, although they have also conceded an average of 1.6 goals during the same period. Sevilla, on the other hand, has struggled to find their rhythm, managing only a single draw and two losses in their recent outings. They have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their away match against Valencia, where they failed to score. Despite this, Sevilla's defense has been relatively resilient, with an average of only 0.8 goals conceded in their last five games. Their expected goals metrics also suggest they have been somewhat unfortunate not to score more, with an average of 1.016 expected goals per game.

Final Prediction

Osasuna's recent form and higher league position give them the edge in this encounter against Sevilla. Their ability to score goals consistently, coupled with Sevilla's recent struggles, particularly in attack, could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be whether Osasuna can tighten their defense to secure a clean sheet, which could be crucial in determining the outcome of the match.