La Liga 2024-2025: Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
53%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
23%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 46 57
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 57 26 31 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 27 13 10 4 45 24 21 49
5 Villarreal 26 12 8 6 48 36 12 44
6 Betis 27 11 8 8 35 33 2 41
7 Mallorca 27 10 7 10 26 33 -7 37
8 Vallecano 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
9 Celta 27 10 6 11 40 41 -1 36
10 Sevilla 27 9 9 9 32 36 -4 36
11 Sociedad 27 10 4 13 23 28 -5 34
12 Getafe 27 8 9 10 23 22 1 33
13 Girona 27 9 6 12 35 40 -5 33
14 Osasuna 26 7 12 7 32 37 -5 33
15 Espanol 26 7 7 12 25 37 -12 28
16 Valencia 27 6 9 12 30 45 -15 27
17 Leganes 27 6 9 12 24 40 -16 27
18 Alaves 27 6 8 13 30 40 -10 26
19 Las Palmas 27 6 6 15 30 45 -15 24
20 Valladolid 27 4 4 19 18 62 -44 16

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 0

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.20
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga showdown between Osasuna and Getafe is predicted to end in favor of Osasuna, with a 53% probability of a home win. The game is also anticipated to feature under 2.5 goals, with only a 46% chance of exceeding that mark. Currently, Osasuna sits at 14th place in the league standings, while Getafe occupies the 12th position, both tied on 33 points.

Match Analysis

Osasuna's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable 3-3 draw against Valencia at home, a narrow 1-0 loss away at Celta, and a resilient 1-1 home draw against Real Madrid. The team has shown a tendency to concede as many as they score, with an average of 1.6 goals both scored and conceded over their last five games. Despite their ability to find the net, Osasuna has struggled defensively, lacking any clean sheets in recent matches. Getafe, on the other hand, has had a slightly more positive run, managing a significant 2-1 win at home against Atletico Madrid. However, this was sandwiched between two losses: a 0-1 defeat away at Leganes and a 1-2 home loss to Betis. Getafe's defense has been more robust than Osasuna’s, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals in their last five encounters while maintaining one clean sheet. Offensively, they too average 1.6 goals per game, with expected goals indicating a slight edge in attacking efficiency.

Final Prediction

Osasuna has the upper hand primarily due to their home advantage and Getafe's recent inconsistencies. While both teams share similar scoring averages, Getafe's improved defensive record might be tested by Osasuna's attacking prowess. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Osasuna can capitalize on their chances, given Getafe's relatively strong defensive metrics.