La Liga 2024-2025: Mallorca vs Leganes Prediction

Mallorca

Home Team
78%
VS

Leganes

Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 84 29 55 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 64 31 33 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 53 26 27 63
4 Betis 31 15 12 4 49 25 24 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 53 40 13 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 42 39 3 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 44 45 -1 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 31 37 -6 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 30 34 -4 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 34 38 -4 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 31 28 3 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 36 44 -8 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 35 47 -12 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 34 42 -8 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 33 40 -7 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 38 48 -10 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 37 52 -15 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 29 48 -19 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 21 73 -52 16

Recent Trends

Mallorca ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)

Leganes ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.16
# Clean Sheets: 1

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.01
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Based on the available data, Mallorca is heavily favored to win with a 78.0% probability. The likelihood of Leganes pulling off a victory stands at a modest 10.0%, while a draw is predicted at 13.0%. The anticipated outcome suggests a home win for Mallorca, with the game likely to have under 2.5 goals. Currently, Mallorca is positioned 8th in La Liga, whereas Leganes struggles near the bottom at 19th.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Mallorca has shown a mixed bag of results. They recently secured an impressive away win against Sociedad, defeating them 2-0, but faced setbacks with losses to Celta and Valencia. Mallorca's attacking efficiency is reflected in their average of 1.6 goals per game over the last five matches, coupled with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals on average. Their expected goals metrics further support their attacking prowess, with 1.714 expected goals per game. Leganes, on the other hand, is on a challenging streak. Despite a commendable effort against Real Madrid, which ended in a narrow 3-2 loss, they managed only a draw against Osasuna and a close defeat to Barcelona. This struggling form is evident in their low goal-scoring average of 0.6 per match, while defensively, they concede an average of 2.0 goals per game. Their expected goals indicate potential for improvement, but their defensive vulnerabilities are evident.

Final Prediction

Mallorca's superior form and league standing give them a distinct advantage going into this match. Their ability to score and maintain defensive stability, as evident from their recent clean sheet against Sociedad, positions them well against a struggling Leganes side. A key factor to watch will be Mallorca's ability to capitalize on their scoring chances against a vulnerable Leganes defense, which could be decisive in securing the win.