La Liga 2024-2025: Mallorca vs Alaves Prediction

Mallorca

Home Team
38%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
37%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Recent Trends

Mallorca ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 1)

Alaves ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.95
# Clean Sheets: 0

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Mallorca and Alaves, the home team, Mallorca, is tipped to have a slight edge with a 38.0% probability of winning, while Alaves trails closely with a 37.0% chance. The match is expected to be a tight contest, with a 25.0% probability of ending in a draw. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals likely to be scored. Currently, Mallorca sits in the 8th position on the La Liga table, while Alaves finds itself in a precarious 19th position, battling relegation.

Match Analysis

Mallorca has shown resilience in their recent performances, securing a win and two draws in their last three matches. They managed to draw against Sevilla away and Osasuna at home, while securing a confident 3-1 victory over Las Palmas at home. Despite these positive results, Mallorca's defense has been shaky, as evidenced by their average of 1.8 goals conceded in the last five games. Offensively, they have been modest, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and no clean sheets in sight. Alaves, on the other hand, has been struggling, with their recent performances highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. They suffered narrow losses against Espanol and Getafe, both at home, and managed a high-scoring draw against Leganes away. Alaves has shown some attacking promise with an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches, but their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Their expected goals metrics suggest a slightly underperforming attack and a leaky defense, with no clean sheets recorded recently.

Final Prediction

Mallorca's slight edge in the prediction can be attributed to their recent solid performances and their higher league standing. Their home advantage may also play a crucial role in tipping the scales in their favor. A key factor to watch during the game will be the defensive capabilities of both teams, as defensive lapses could be the deciding factor in what is expected to be a closely contested match.