La Liga 2024-2025: Leganes vs Osasuna Prediction

Leganes

Home Team
28%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
48%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Leganes ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 3)

Osasuna ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.94
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leganes and Osasuna has Osasuna as the predicted winner with a 48% probability, while the chance of Leganes winning stands at 28%. The likelihood of a draw is 24%. The game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 40% chance of exceeding that mark. In the current La Liga standings, Osasuna is positioned 14th, whereas Leganes finds themselves in a precarious 18th position, battling against relegation.

Match Analysis

Both teams have struggled for form in recent outings, with Leganes enduring a three-match losing streak, including a narrow 3-2 defeat to Real Madrid and a similar scoreline against Betis. Their recent performances reveal a consistent struggle defensively, as they conceded three goals in two of these matches. On the other hand, Osasuna has managed only one point from their last three games, notably drawing 0-0 against Ath Bilbao. They faced a challenging encounter against Barcelona, which resulted in a 3-0 loss, highlighting their vulnerability against stronger opposition. In terms of advanced metrics, Leganes has averaged 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, but their defensive frailties are apparent with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game. Meanwhile, Osasuna has scored an average of 0.4 goals per game, indicating their struggles in finding the back of the net. However, their defense has been slightly more robust, conceding 1.2 goals on average. Both teams have managed just one clean sheet in their last five outings, emphasizing the defensive challenges they face.

Final Prediction

Osasuna's edge in this matchup primarily stems from their slightly stronger defensive record and a higher league standing, giving them a psychological advantage. A key factor to watch will be whether Osasuna can capitalize on Leganes' defensive vulnerabilities to secure a crucial win. The ability of Osasuna to convert any scoring opportunities will be pivotal in determining the game's outcome.