La Liga 2024-2025: Leganes vs Getafe Prediction

Leganes

Home Team
35%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
37%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Recent Trends

Leganes ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)

Getafe ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.52
# Clean Sheets: 1

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leganes and Getafe is predicted to be a closely contested affair, with a slight edge favoring Getafe, who have a 37.0% chance of securing victory. Meanwhile, the probability of a Leganes win stands at 35.0%, with a draw being the least likely outcome at 27.0%. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 42.0% chance of surpassing that mark. In the current La Liga standings, Getafe sits in 14th place, while Leganes is trailing slightly behind in 16th position.

Match Analysis

Both teams come into this encounter with contrasting recent performances. Leganes have struggled in their last three matches, failing to secure a win. They suffered two away defeats against Sociedad and Valencia, conceding a total of five goals without reply, and managed a high-scoring draw at home against Alaves. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match in their last five games, while scoring just 1.2 goals on average. Getafe, on the other hand, have shown resilience and a strong defense, winning two of their last three games. They achieved victories against Girona and Alaves, both away from home, and narrowly lost to Betis at home. The Madrid-based side has demonstrated defensive solidity, conceding only 0.6 goals per game in recent fixtures, and keeping three clean sheets in their last five matches. Their attacking output, averaging 1.6 goals per game, has also been more consistent compared to Leganes.

Final Prediction

Getafe's recent defensive form and ability to grind out results give them a slight advantage in this matchup. Their capacity to keep clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities could prove decisive against a Leganes side struggling defensively. A key factor to watch during the game will be Getafe's defensive organization, as they aim to neutralize Leganes' attacking threats and secure an important away victory.