La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Valencia Prediction

Las Palmas

Home Team
37%
VS

Valencia

Away Team
36%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Betis 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
6 Villarreal 32 14 10 8 55 45 10 52
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 32 10 9 13 35 41 -6 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Las Palmas ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)

Valencia ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.51
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Valencia is set to be a tight contest, with Las Palmas having a slight edge to secure a victory with a 37.0% probability. Valencia follows closely with a 36.0% chance of winning, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 27.0%. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the La Liga standings, with Las Palmas positioned 18th and Valencia in 14th. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with a 49.0% probability of under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Las Palmas has shown a mix of results in their recent outings. They managed an impressive 1-0 victory against Atletico Madrid at home and followed it up with a 3-1 win over Getafe on the road. However, their inconsistency was evident with a narrow 1-0 loss against Athletic Bilbao away from home. Their defensive frailties have been a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their last five games, though they have managed to keep a clean sheet once during this period. Valencia, on the other hand, has demonstrated a slightly better form with a recent victory against Sevilla and draws against Espanyol and Rayo Vallecano. They have been more consistent defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, and have secured two clean sheets in their last five matches. Offensively, Valencia has been more potent, averaging 1.6 goals per game, showcasing a slightly better attacking form compared to Las Palmas.

Final Prediction

Las Palmas holds a slight advantage going into this match, primarily due to their recent home performance against a strong Atletico Madrid side. However, Valencia's recent defensive solidity could play a crucial role in determining the outcome. Keep an eye on Valencia’s ability to capitalize on Las Palmas' defensive lapses, which could be a decisive factor in this encounter.