La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Sociedad Prediction

Las Palmas

Home Team
25%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
56%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 21 3 5 82 28 54 66
2 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 62 29 33 63
3 Ath Madrid 29 16 9 4 47 23 24 57
4 Ath Bilbao 29 14 11 4 46 24 22 53
5 Villarreal 28 13 8 7 51 39 12 47
6 Betis 29 13 8 8 40 36 4 47
7 Vallecano 29 10 10 9 33 31 2 40
8 Celta 29 11 7 11 42 42 0 40
9 Mallorca 29 11 7 11 28 35 -7 40
10 Sociedad 29 11 5 13 27 31 -4 38
11 Sevilla 29 9 9 11 33 39 -6 36
12 Getafe 29 9 9 11 26 25 1 36
13 Girona 29 9 7 13 37 45 -8 34
14 Osasuna 29 7 13 9 33 42 -9 34
15 Valencia 29 7 10 12 32 46 -14 31
16 Espanol 28 7 8 13 27 40 -13 29
17 Alaves 29 6 9 14 32 44 -12 27
18 Leganes 29 6 9 14 28 46 -18 27
19 Las Palmas 29 6 8 15 33 48 -15 26
20 Valladolid 29 4 4 21 19 65 -46 16

Recent Trends

Las Palmas ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valladolid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)

Sociedad ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leganes (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 0

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Las Palmas and Sociedad is predicted to favor Sociedad with a 56.0% chance of winning, compared to a 25.0% chance for Las Palmas. A draw stands at 19.0%. Given the league standings, Sociedad currently sits in 10th place, whereas Las Palmas is struggling in 19th, fighting to avoid relegation. The game is also anticipated to stay under 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability of this outcome.

Match Analysis

Las Palmas has shown a mix of resilience and struggle in their recent fixtures, drawing twice against Celta and Alaves, and suffering a narrow defeat to Betis. Despite these efforts, they haven't secured a win in their last three outings, highlighting the challenges they face. Their recent games indicate a consistent ability to find the net, with an average of 1.0 goals scored per match in the last five, though defensively, they concede an average of 1.8 goals. The absence of clean sheets in their recent matches underscores defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Sociedad's recent performances include a victory over Valladolid, a draw with Vallecano, and a loss to Sevilla. Despite the mixed outcomes, they have struggled to maintain defensive solidity, conceding an average of 2.4 goals over their last five games, while scoring an average of 0.6. Their expected goals metrics suggest they might not be as threatening in attack as they would hope, with only 0.846 expected goals per match. However, a slightly better defensive expected goals figure of 1.91 indicates some potential to tighten their defense.

Final Prediction

Sociedad appears to have the upper hand, primarily due to their higher league standing and a recent victory which could boost their confidence. A key factor to watch in this game will be whether Sociedad can capitalize on Las Palmas' defensive weaknesses and whether Las Palmas can break Sociedad's backline, given their own offensive challenges. The encounter promises to be a tight contest, with both teams looking to improve their positions in the league.